Saturday, January 24, 2009

Sudah Kubilang dulu: VIVANEWS - KORUPSI

VIVANEWS - KORUPSI

Penelitian Fiktif Profesor ITB
"Banyak Dosen ITB Tak Paham Administrasi"
"Kebanyakan para akademisi di sini lebih memfokuskan diri pada bidang ilmunya."
Sabtu, 24 Januari 2009, 10:13 WIB
Ita Lismawati F. Malau
Korupsi (mahkamahkonstitusi.go.id)

VIVANews - Kepala Bagian Informasi, Komunikasi dan Humas Institut Teknologi Bandung atau ITB, Budi Mulyadi mengungkapkan sebagian besar dosen di lembaga akademisi itu kurang memahami masalah administrasi.

"Kebanyakan para akademisi di sini (ITB) lebih memfokuskan diri pada bidang ilmunya. Sedangkan urusan administrasi, biasanya dikerjakan oleh stafnya," ujar Budi kepada VIVAnews, Jumat 23 Januari 2009.

Dia mensinyalir, kasus yang menimpa Made Astawa R juga disebabkan oleh ketidaktelitian dalam menyetujui surat perintah kerja (SPK) proyek penelitian, untuk Informasi Spacial Sumber Daya Alam dalam rangka pembangunan ekonomi lokal. Proyek itu berada di Kementerian Negara Pembangunan Daerah Tertinggal.

Saat ini, Kejaksaan Agung telah menetapkan Astawa yang juga Guru Besar ITB itu sebagai tersangka dugaan penelitian fiktif.

"Mungkin dia tidak tahu prosesnya. Mungkin bawahannya di sana bilang sudah beres dan tinggal di tandatangan saja," tambah Budi.

Dugaan Budi itu berkaca pada kasus yang menimpa Guru Besar Universitas Padjadjaran, Rusadi Kantaprawira. Profesor Ilmu Politik itu harus terseret kasus korupsi pengadaan tinta.

Budi mengenal Astawa sebagai sosok yang orang yang memiliki sikap tegas dan disiplin. Ia mengaku sudah mengenal Astawa sejak lama. Dia itu orangnya sederhana dan tidak bertele-tele, kalau ada masalah suka langsung to the point," pungkasnya.

Laporan: Sigit Zulmunir | Bandung

• VIVAnews

VIVANEWS - POLITIK "hanya Mega dan Sby?"

VIVANEWS - POLITIK

Anis: Hanya SBY dan Mega Capres Terpopuler
Keinginan memunculkan pasangan capres dan cawapres di luar SBY dan Mega dinilai berat
Sabtu, 24 Januari 2009, 17:34 WIB
Suwarjono, Lutfi Dwi Puji Astuti


VIVAnews - Keinginan memunculkan paket calon presiden dan wakil presiden di luar pasangan Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono dan pasangan Megawati Soekarno Putri dinilai pengamat politik sulit terwujud.

"Persyaratan calon presiden harus didukung 20 persen suara itu akan menghentikan keinginan pasangan ketiga. Sekarang ini bila memunculkan pasangan ketiga, harus dihitung suaranya kira-kira seimbang dengan SBY dan Megawati atau tidak, " kata pengamat politik Anis Rasyid Baswedan usai menghadiri perayaan ulang tahun Taruna Merah di GOR Bulungan, Jakarta, Sabtu 24 Januari 2009.

Anis yang juga Rektor Paramadina ini mengatakan, kalau tidak memiliki suara dekati SBY dan Mega , mana ada partai yang mau mendukung. "Kan lebih baik mendukung SBY atau Megawati, daripada sekedar ramai-ramai saja. Sebelum ada calon yang mendekati suara mereka berdua, saya kira tidak akan ada partai yang mendukung," katanya.

"Untuk apa mendukung kalau hanya menjadi nomor 3. Masalah koalisi itu romantisme 10 tahun lalu. Jadi, menurut saya, 2009 tetap SBY dan Mega yang paling populer," katanya.

Hasil polling berbagai lembaga survei menunjukkan perolehan suara terhadap para calon presiden mengerucut ke dua kandidat, yakni Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono dan Megawati Soekarno Putri. SBY yang menjadi incumbent rata-rata mendapat dukungan 30-37 persen, sedangkan Megawati Soekarno Putri mendapat dukungan 25-20 persen.
• VIVAnews

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

How Israel brought Gaza to the brink of humanitarian catastrophe

Oxford professor of international relations Avi Shlaim served in the Israeli army and has never questioned the state's legitimacy. But its merciless assault on Gaza has led him to devastating conclusions

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jan/07/gaza-israel-palestine


A wounded Palestinian policeman gestures
A wounded Palestinian policeman gestures while lying on the ground outside Hamas police headquarters following an Israeli air strike in Gaza City. Photograph: Mohammed Abed/AFP/Getty Images
The only way to make sense of Israel's senseless war in Gaza is through understanding the historical context. Establishing the state of Israel in May 1948 involved a monumental injustice to the Palestinians. British officials bitterly resented American partisanship on behalf of the infant state. On 2 June 1948, Sir John Troutbeck wrote to the foreign secretary, Ernest Bevin, that the Americans were responsible for the creation of a gangster state headed by "an utterly unscrupulous set of leaders". I used to think that this judgment was too harsh but Israel's vicious assault on the people of Gaza, and the Bush administration's complicity in this assault, have reopened the question.
I write as someone who served loyally in the Israeli army in the mid-1960s and who has never questioned the legitimacy of the state of Israel within its pre-1967 borders. What I utterly reject is the Zionist colonial project beyond the Green Line. The Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip in the aftermath of the June 1967 war had very little to do with security and everything to do with territorial expansionism. The aim was to establish Greater Israel through permanent political, economic and military control over the Palestinian territories. And the result has been one of the most prolonged and brutal military occupations of modern times.
Four decades of Israeli control did incalculable damage to the economy of the Gaza Strip. With a large population of 1948 refugees crammed into a tiny strip of land, with no infrastructure or natural resources, Gaza's prospects were never bright. Gaza, however, is not simply a case of economic under-development but a uniquely cruel case of deliberate de-development. To use the Biblical phrase, Israel turned the people of Gaza into the hewers of wood and the drawers of water, into a source of cheap labour and a captive market for Israeli goods. The development of local industry was actively impeded so as to make it impossible for the Palestinians to end their subordination to Israel and to establish the economic underpinnings essential for real political independence.
Gaza is a classic case of colonial exploitation in the post-colonial era. Jewish settlements in occupied territories are immoral, illegal and an insurmountable obstacle to peace. They are at once the instrument of exploitation and the symbol of the hated occupation. In Gaza, the Jewish settlers numbered only 8,000 in 2005 compared with 1.4 million local residents. Yet the settlers controlled 25% of the territory, 40% of the arable land and the lion's share of the scarce water resources. Cheek by jowl with these foreign intruders, the majority of the local population lived in abject poverty and unimaginable misery. Eighty per cent of them still subsist on less than $2 a day. The living conditions in the strip remain an affront to civilised values, a powerful precipitant to resistance and a fertile breeding ground for political extremism.
In August 2005 a Likud government headed by Ariel Sharon staged a unilateral Israeli pullout from Gaza, withdrawing all 8,000 settlers and destroying the houses and farms they had left behind. Hamas, the Islamic resistance movement, conducted an effective campaign to drive the Israelis out of Gaza. The withdrawal was a humiliation for the Israeli Defence Forces. To the world, Sharon presented the withdrawal from Gaza as a contribution to peace based on a two-state solution. But in the year after, another 12,000 Israelis settled on the West Bank, further reducing the scope for an independent Palestinian state. Land-grabbing and peace-making are simply incompatible. Israel had a choice and it chose land over peace.
The real purpose behind the move was to redraw unilaterally the borders of Greater Israel by incorporating the main settlement blocs on the West Bank to the state of Israel. Withdrawal from Gaza was thus not a prelude to a peace deal with the Palestinian Authority but a prelude to further Zionist expansion on the West Bank. It was a unilateral Israeli move undertaken in what was seen, mistakenly in my view, as an Israeli national interest. Anchored in a fundamental rejection of the Palestinian national identity, the withdrawal from Gaza was part of a long-term effort to deny the Palestinian people any independent political existence on their land.
Israel's settlers were withdrawn but Israeli soldiers continued to control all access to the Gaza Strip by land, sea and air. Gaza was converted overnight into an open-air prison. From this point on, the Israeli air force enjoyed unrestricted freedom to drop bombs, to make sonic booms by flying low and breaking the sound barrier, and to terrorise the hapless inhabitants of this prison.
Israel likes to portray itself as an island of democracy in a sea of authoritarianism. Yet Israel has never in its entire history done anything to promote democracy on the Arab side and has done a great deal to undermine it. Israel has a long history of secret collaboration with reactionary Arab regimes to suppress Palestinian nationalism. Despite all the handicaps, the Palestinian people succeeded in building the only genuine democracy in the Arab world with the possible exception of Lebanon. In January 2006, free and fair elections for the Legislative Council of the Palestinian Authority brought to power a Hamas-led government. Israel, however, refused to recognise the democratically elected government, claiming that Hamas is purely and simply a terrorist organisation.
America and the EU shamelessly joined Israel in ostracising and demonising the Hamas government and in trying to bring it down by withholding tax revenues and foreign aid. A surreal situation thus developed with a significant part of the international community imposing economic sanctions not against the occupier but against the occupied, not against the oppressor but against the oppressed.
As so often in the tragic history of Palestine, the victims were blamed for their own misfortunes. Israel's propaganda machine persistently purveyed the notion that the Palestinians are terrorists, that they reject coexistence with the Jewish state, that their nationalism is little more than antisemitism, that Hamas is just a bunch of religious fanatics and that Islam is incompatible with democracy. But the simple truth is that the Palestinian people are a normal people with normal aspirations. They are no better but they are no worse than any other national group. What they aspire to, above all, is a piece of land to call their own on which to live in freedom and dignity.
Like other radical movements, Hamas began to moderate its political programme following its rise to power. From the ideological rejectionism of its charter, it began to move towards pragmatic accommodation of a two-state solution. In March 2007, Hamas and Fatah formed a national unity government that was ready to negotiate a long-term ceasefire with Israel. Israel, however, refused to negotiate with a government that included Hamas.
It continued to play the old game of divide and rule between rival Palestinian factions. In the late 1980s, Israel had supported the nascent Hamas in order to weaken Fatah, the secular nationalist movement led by Yasser Arafat. Now Israel began to encourage the corrupt and pliant Fatah leaders to overthrow their religious political rivals and recapture power. Aggressive American neoconservatives participated in the sinister plot to instigate a Palestinian civil war. Their meddling was a major factor in the collapse of the national unity government and in driving Hamas to seize power in Gaza in June 2007 to pre-empt a Fatah coup.
The war unleashed by Israel on Gaza on 27 December was the culmination of a series of clashes and confrontations with the Hamas government. In a broader sense, however, it is a war between Israel and the Palestinian people, because the people had elected the party to power. The declared aim of the war is to weaken Hamas and to intensify the pressure until its leaders agree to a new ceasefire on Israel's terms. The undeclared aim is to ensure that the Palestinians in Gaza are seen by the world simply as a humanitarian problem and thus to derail their struggle for independence and statehood.
The timing of the war was determined by political expediency. A general election is scheduled for 10 February and, in the lead-up to the election, all the main contenders are looking for an opportunity to prove their toughness. The army top brass had been champing at the bit to deliver a crushing blow to Hamas in order to remove the stain left on their reputation by the failure of the war against Hezbollah in Lebanon in July 2006. Israel's cynical leaders could also count on apathy and impotence of the pro-western Arab regimes and on blind support from President Bush in the twilight of his term in the White House. Bush readily obliged by putting all the blame for the crisis on Hamas, vetoing proposals at the UN Security Council for an immediate ceasefire and issuing Israel with a free pass to mount a ground invasion of Gaza.
As always, mighty Israel claims to be the victim of Palestinian aggression but the sheer asymmetry of power between the two sides leaves little room for doubt as to who is the real victim. This is indeed a conflict between David and Goliath but the Biblical image has been inverted - a small and defenceless Palestinian David faces a heavily armed, merciless and overbearing Israeli Goliath. The resort to brute military force is accompanied, as always, by the shrill rhetoric of victimhood and a farrago of self-pity overlaid with self-righteousness. In Hebrew this is known as the syndrome of bokhim ve-yorim, "crying and shooting".
To be sure, Hamas is not an entirely innocent party in this conflict. Denied the fruit of its electoral victory and confronted with an unscrupulous adversary, it has resorted to the weapon of the weak - terror. Militants from Hamas and Islamic Jihad kept launching Qassam rocket attacks against Israeli settlements near the border with Gaza until Egypt brokered a six-month ceasefire last June. The damage caused by these primitive rockets is minimal but the psychological impact is immense, prompting the public to demand protection from its government. Under the circumstances, Israel had the right to act in self-defence but its response to the pinpricks of rocket attacks was totally disproportionate. The figures speak for themselves. In the three years after the withdrawal from Gaza, 11 Israelis were killed by rocket fire. On the other hand, in 2005-7 alone, the IDF killed 1,290 Palestinians in Gaza, including 222 children.
Whatever the numbers, killing civilians is wrong. This rule applies to Israel as much as it does to Hamas, but Israel's entire record is one of unbridled and unremitting brutality towards the inhabitants of Gaza. Israel also maintained the blockade of Gaza after the ceasefire came into force which, in the view of the Hamas leaders, amounted to a violation of the agreement. During the ceasefire, Israel prevented any exports from leaving the strip in clear violation of a 2005 accord, leading to a sharp drop in employment opportunities. Officially, 49.1% of the population is unemployed. At the same time, Israel restricted drastically the number of trucks carrying food, fuel, cooking-gas canisters, spare parts for water and sanitation plants, and medical supplies to Gaza. It is difficult to see how starving and freezing the civilians of Gaza could protect the people on the Israeli side of the border. But even if it did, it would still be immoral, a form of collective punishment that is strictly forbidden by international humanitarian law.
The brutality of Israel's soldiers is fully matched by the mendacity of its spokesmen. Eight months before launching the current war on Gaza, Israel established a National Information Directorate. The core messages of this directorate to the media are that Hamas broke the ceasefire agreements; that Israel's objective is the defence of its population; and that Israel's forces are taking the utmost care not to hurt innocent civilians. Israel's spin doctors have been remarkably successful in getting this message across. But, in essence, their propaganda is a pack of lies.
A wide gap separates the reality of Israel's actions from the rhetoric of its spokesmen. It was not Hamas but the IDF that broke the ceasefire. It di d so by a raid into Gaza on 4 November that killed six Hamas men. Israel's objective is not just the defence of its population but the eventual overthrow of the Hamas government in Gaza by turning the people against their rulers. And far from taking care to spare civilians, Israel is guilty of indiscriminate bombing and of a three-year-old blockade that has brought the inhabitants of Gaza, now 1.5 million, to the brink of a humanitarian catastrophe.
The Biblical injunction of an eye for an eye is savage enough. But Israel's insane offensive against Gaza seems to follow the logic of an eye for an eyelash. After eight days of bombing, with a death toll of more than 400 Palestinians and four Israelis, the gung-ho cabinet ordered a land invasion of Gaza the consequences of which are incalculable.
No amount of military escalation can buy Israel immunity from rocket attacks from the military wing of Hamas. Despite all the death and destruction that Israel has inflicted on them, they kept up their resistance and they kept firing their rockets. This is a movement that glorifies victimhood and martyrdom. There is simply no military solution to the conflict between the two communities. The problem with Israel's concept of security is that it denies even the most elementary security to the other community. The only way for Israel to achieve security is not through shooting but through talks with Hamas, which has repeatedly declared its readiness to negotiate a long-term ceasefire with the Jewish state within its pre-1967 borders for 20, 30, or even 50 years. Israel has rejected this offer for the same reason it spurned the Arab League peace plan of 2002, which is still on the table: it involves concessions and compromises.
This brief review of Israel's record over the past four decades makes it difficult to resist the conclusion that it has become a rogue state with "an utterly unscrupulous set of leaders". A rogue state habitually violates international law, possesses weapons of mass destruction and practises terrorism - the use of violence against civilians for political purposes. Israel fulfils all of these three criteria; the cap fits and it must wear it. Israel's real aim is not peaceful coexistence with its Palestinian neighbours but military domination. It keeps compounding the mistakes of the past with new and more disastrous ones. Politicians, like everyone else, are of course free to repeat the lies and mistakes of the past. But it is not mandatory to do so.
• Avi Shlaim is a professor of international relations at the University of Oxford and the author of The Iron Wall: Israel and the Arab World and of Lion of Jordan: King Hussein's Life in War and Peace.

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

"Tongkat Membawa Rebah"

Akhirnya Allah menunjukkan kebesarannya juga. Setelah DPR masih ngotot mengesahkan UU MA yang mengizinkan hakim agung menerima gaji dari republik hingga usia 70 tahun, Wakil Ketua MA pun terpaksa mengakui kekuatan yang dimilikinya sudah tidak layak untuk berkarya. PAdahal baru 67 tahun, kurang 3 tahun lagi hingga akhir batas pensiun yang diizinkan UU baru. APa mau dikata, kondisi alamiah terutama usia sudah harus diinsafi, bukan malah diplintir dan mematikan karir banyak pejabat dibawahnya. Akh..atau mungkin saya yang salah.

detikNews : situs warta era digital | Kronologi Terjatuhnya Wakil Ketua MA Harifin A Tumpa

Selasa, 30/12/2008 15:07 WIB
Kronologi Terjatuhnya Wakil Ketua MA Harifin A Tumpa
Indra Subagja - detikNews

Jakarta - Wakil Ketua Harifin A Tumpa tidak menyangka kram akan menimpa dirinya. Akibatnya, calon kuat Ketua MA itu pun sempat terjatuh saat hendak melantik 6 hakim agung baru.

Peristiwa jatuhnya Harifin terjadi sekitar pukul 11.10 WIB, Selasa (30/12/2008) di Gedung MA, Jl Medan Merdeka Utara, Jakarta.

Sebelumnya, sekitar pukul 10.00 WIB, Harifin sempat melantik 4 Ketua Pengadilan Tinggi. Dan selama 30 menit dia berdiri, tidak terjadi peristiwa apa pun.

Selesai pelantikan para ketua pengadilan tinggi, acara ditunda selama 30 menit, untuk persiapan pelantikan hakim agung. Sekitar pukul 11.00 WIB, acara pelantikan dimulai.

29 Hakim agung berbaris, 21 di antaranya berdiri di podium hakim. Sedang Harifin beserta 8 hakim lainnya yang mengenakan seragam kebesaran hakim, berdiri di hadapan 6 hakim agung baru.

Pembawa acara kemudian mengumumkan dimulainya proses pelantikan. Saat itu sebagai Wakil Ketua MA, Harifin didaulat membacakan Keppres pengangkatan hakim agung. Namun tidak disangka saat hendak melangkah menuju pengeras suara, tiba-tiba dia terjatuh.

Untungnya, hakim agung yang berada di kanan dan kiri Harifin, segera menyambar tubuhnya. Tubuh hakim yang akan berusia 67 tahun pada Februari 2009 mendatang itu pun tidak sampai rebah ke lantai.

Para undangan yang saat itu tengah duduk menyimak proses pelantikan pun terhenyak. Mereka berdiri dari kursinya, ingin tahu apa sebenarnya yang terjadi. Sedang beberapa staf dari MA segera berlarian memberi pertolongan pada Harifin yang mengenakan toga lengkap hakim agung.

"Acara pelantikan diskors," ucap pembawa acara memberi pengumuman.

Namun, tidak lama kemudian, Harifin tampak sehat kembali dan bisa melanjutkan acara. Meski begitu, satu kursi kemudian diberikan pada Harifin. Sambil duduk, dia pun membacakan Keppres.

Duduk sekitar 10 menit di kursi, Harifin akhirnya kembali melanjutkan acara dengan berdiri, untuk membacakan sumpah hakim agung. Dan prosesi pelantikan kembali dilanjutkan seperti biasa.

"Asam urat saya agak tinggi," ujar Harifin setelah acara.

Saat liburan, dia memang bermain dengan cucunya di Bandung. "Mungkin saya agak kurang istirahat," kata Harifin.(ndr/nrl)

Saturday, December 27, 2008

Siapa yang harus diikuti: Imam atau Makmum?


Banyak Imam "Ngawur" di Indonesia.

Maaf, to the point saja. Saya lagi kesal sama manusia Indonesia yang kebetulan beragama Islam dan kebetulan lagi sering di daulat jadi imam pada saat shalat berjamaah. Pasalnya, banyak di antara mereka entah karena ada tumor diotaknya atau memang menganut paham "miring", sehingga sering kali memiringkan sajadahnya ke kanan. Meski shalat sudah dilaksanakan di mesji atau musholla yang nota bene pasti sudah di stel atau di "adjust" arahnya kepada kiblat umat Islam di Mekkah.

Entah gejala apa ini. Tapi buat sebagian orang mungkin gak terlalu masalah. Namun bagi saya ini cukup mengganggu. Betapa tidak, jika kita ikut shalat berjamaah dan akhirnya tahu ada imam yang memiringkan lagi sekitar 15-20 derajat kekanan, artinya kita tidak searah dengan Imam tersebut, padahal kita adalah pengikut imam itu guna dapat melaksanakan shalat fardhu berjamaah yang InsyaAllah pahalanya jauh lebih besar dibanding melaksanakan shalat sendirian.

Di beberapa mesjid atau musholla sering saya jumpai sajadah imam yang mirin dan melenceng jika dibanding arah sajadah makmum yang dibelakangnya.

Ah....mudah2-an bisa ditertibkan atau paling tidak ada kelompok yang dapat menghimbau hal ini kepada umat Islam. Sungguh saya prihatin, namun hanya bisa menulis di Fb untuk sementara waktu. Meski terkadang sehabis shalat saya sering berdiskusi, pura-pura sih diskusi, dengan imam2 tersebut lalu bagian akhir mengingatkan. Namun seperti biasa, imam mesjid itu rata-rata teguh dengan pendiriannya dan agak "gelap mata". Pokoknya ya pokoknya, dan sayapun biasanya pamit sambil mengucapkan terserah anda.., saya hanya ingin menyampaikan sesuatu yang menurut saya keliru dan sebaiknya diperbaiki.

Wallahualalm bissawab.

Monday, December 22, 2008

GDP : Suatu Besaran atau Indikator yang sering diabaikan pemimpin kita.

GDP mungkin sudah sangat sering kita dengar sebagai satu besaran ekonomi makro yang menjadi indikator "kesehatan" dan "kesejahteraan" suatu bangsa. Dalam praktek sehari-hari , sering kali kita saksikan banyak pimpinan yang abai akan GDP. Ia tidak pernah tahu dan mau tahu betapa secara internasional dan pergaulan dunia bangsa kita memang masih tergolong setingkat di atas negara miskin, alias masih jauh dari sebutan negara kaya. Namun karena banyak pemimpin kita yang kekayaan dan gaya hidupnya sudah jauh di atas rata-rata orang kaya di negara maju sekalipun, maka tidak pelak lagi mereka menjadi "buta" dan abai terhadap sebagian lain penduduk dan WNI. Karena itu saya pernah melawan langsung di di tempat diskusi ketika salah seorang menteri di zaman Gusdur mewanti-wanti agar rakyat Indonesia jangan begini-begitu atau terlalu begini-begitu, nanti "bisa seperti Rusia" kata sang Menteri.

Seketika itu pula saya sampaikan dengan santun, bahwa saya mau pak negara saya seperti Rusia, karena faktanya Rusia jauh lebih tinggi GDP nya dari kita, apalagi GDP per capita yang jauh di atas Indonesia. Sungguh tidak mudah mengerti dan memahami suatu persoalan, namun bangsa kita lebih cepat mengomongkannya dari pada mempelajarinya. Namun bisa seperti Rusia bukan berarti saya mengizinkan negara saya kembali menjadi negara sosialis, apalagi berhaluan komunis. Itu sih perkara lain, tegas saya. Yang pasti saya mau negara saya setingkat dengan Argentina, atau juga Peru, apalagi Rusia yang sekarang nyata-nyata menjadi sangat sejahtera ketika mereka mampu meraup "petro dollar" disaat harga minyak sangat tinggi. Bagaimana kita? "Harga minyak naik buntung, harga minyak turun bingung!"

Tulisan berikut adalah resource yang sangat baik tentang GDP dan bagaimana sebaiknya pemimpin atau calon pemimpin Indonesia memahami nya.

Semoga berguna.


ES



Finance & Development
A quarterly magazine of the IMF
December 2008, Volume 45, Number 4

Back to Basics
Tim Callen

What Is Gross Domestic Product?
Many professions commonly use acronyms. To doctors, accountants, and baseball players, the letters MRI (magnetic resonance imaging), GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles), and ERA (earned run average), respectively, need no explanation. To someone unfamiliar with these fields, however, without an explanation these acronyms are a stumbling block to a better understanding of the subject at hand.

Economics is no different. Economists use many acronyms. One of the most common is GDP, which stands for gross domestic product. It is often cited in newspapers, on the television news, and in reports by governments, central banks, and the business community. It has become widely used as a reference point for the health of national and global economies. When GDP is growing, especially if inflation is not a problem, workers and businesses are generally better off than when it is not.

Measuring GDP
GDP measures the monetary value of final goods and services—that is, those that are bought by the final user—produced in a country in a given period of time (say a quarter or a year). It counts all the output generated within the borders of a country. GDP is composed of goods and services produced for sale in the market and also includes some nonmarket production, such as defense or education services provided by the government. An alternative concept, gross national product, or GNP, counts all the output of the residents of a country. So if a German-owned company has a factory in the United States, the output of this factory would be included in U.S. GDP, but in German GNP.

Not all productive activity is included in GDP. For example, unpaid work (such as that performed in the home or by volunteers) and black-market activities are not included because they are difficult to measure and value accurately. That means, for example, that a baker who produces a loaf of bread for a customer would contribute to GDP, but would not contribute to GDP if he baked the same loaf for his family.

Moreover, "gross" domestic product takes no account of the wear and tear on the machinery, buildings, and so on (the so-called capital stock) that are used in producing the output. If this depletion of the capital stock, called depreciation, is subtracted from GDP, we get net domestic product.

Theoretically, GDP can be viewed in three different ways.
• The production approach sums the "value added" at each stage of production, where value added is defined as total sales minus the value of intermediate inputs into the production process. For example, flour would be an intermediate input and bread the final product, or an architect's services would be an intermediate input and the building the final product.
• The expenditure approach adds up the value of purchases made by final users—for example, the consumption of food, televisions, and medical services by households; the investments in machinery by companies; and the purchases of goods and services by the government and foreigners.
• The income approach sums the incomes generated by production—for example, the compensation employees receive and the operating surplus of companies (roughly sales minus costs).

GDP in a country is usually calculated by the national statistical agency, which compiles the information from a large number of sources. In making the calculations, however, most countries follow established international standards. The international standard for measuring GDP is contained in the System of National Accounts, 1993, compiled by the International Monetary Fund, the European Commission, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the United Nations, and the World Bank.

Real GDP
One thing people want to know about an economy is whether its total output of goods and services is growing or shrinking. But because GDP is collected at current, or nominal, prices, one cannot compare two periods without making adjustments for inflation. To determine "real" GDP, its nominal value must be adjusted to take into account price changes to allow us to see whether the value of output has gone up because more is being produced or simply because prices have increased. A statistical tool called the price deflator is used to adjust GDP from nominal to constant prices.

GDP is important because it gives information about the size of the economy and how an economy is performing. The growth rate of real GDP is often used as an indicator of the general health of the economy. In broad terms, an increase in real GDP is interpreted as a sign that the economy is doing well. When real GDP is growing strongly, employment is likely to be increasing as companies hire more workers for their factories and people have more money in their pockets. At present, concerns are in the opposite direction. After several years of exceptionally strong real GDP growth, many countries are experiencing a slowdown, with real GDP estimated to have declined in a number of industrial countries in recent quarters. But real GDP growth does move in cycles over time. Economies are sometimes in periods of boom, and sometimes periods of slow growth or even recession (with the latter sometimes defined as two consecutive quarters in which output declines). In the United States, for example, there were six recessions of varying length and severity between 1950 and 2007 (see chart). The National Bureau of Economic Research makes the call on the dates of U.S. business cycles.

Growth and gaps

Comparing GDPs of two countries

GDP is measured in the currency of the country in question. That requires adjustment when trying to compare the value of output in two countries using different currencies. The usual method is to convert the value of GDP of each country into U.S. dollars and then compare them. Conversion to dollars can be done either using market exchange rates—those that prevail in the foreign exchange market—or purchasing-power-parity (PPP) exchange rates. The PPP exchange rate is the rate at which the currency of one country would have to be converted into that of another to purchase the same amount of goods and services in each country (see "Back to Basics" in the March 2007 issue of Finance & Development). There is a large gap between market and PPP-based exchange rates in emerging market and developing countries. For most emerging market and developing countries, the ratio of the market and PPP U.S. dollar exchange rates is between 2 and 4. This is because nontraded goods and services tend to be cheaper in low-income than in high-income countries—for example, a haircut in New York is more expensive than in Bishkek—even when the cost of making tradable goods, such as machinery, across two countries is the same. For advanced countries, market and PPP exchange rates tend to be much closer. These differences mean that emerging market and developing countries have a higher estimated dollar GDP when the PPP exchange rate is used.

The IMF publishes an array of GDP data on its website (www.imf.org). International institutions such as the IMF also calculate global and regional measures of real GDP growth. These give an idea of how quickly or slowly the world economy or the economies in a particular region of the world are growing. The aggregates are constructed as weighted averages of the GDP in individual countries, with weights reflecting each country's share of GDP in the group (with PPP exchange rates used to determine the appropriate weights). So, for example, the updated edition of the IMF's World Economic Outlook projects that global real GDP will grow by 2.2 percent in 2009, down from 3.7 percent this year (and 5 percent in 2007). Advanced economies are expected to contract for the first time on an annual basis since World War II.

What GDP does not reveal
It is also important to understand what GDP cannot tell us. GDP is not a measure of the overall standard of living or well-being of a country. Although changes in the output of goods and services per person (GDP per capita) are often used as a measure of whether the average citizen in a country is better or worse off, it does not capture things that may be deemed important to general well-being. So, for example, increased output may come at the cost of environmental damage or other external costs, such as noise. Or it might involve the reduction of leisure time or the depletion of nonrenewable natural resources. The quality of life may also depend on the distribution of GDP among the residents of a country, not just the overall level. To try to account for such factors, the United Nations computes a Human Development Index, which ranks countries not only based on GDP per capita, but on other factors, such as life expectancy, literacy, and school enrollment. Other attempts have been made to account for some of the shortcomings of GDP, such as the Genuine Progress Indicator and the Gross National Happiness Index, but these too have their critics.

Tim Callen is a Division Chief in the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department.

Saturday, December 13, 2008

Harus hati-hati: PT Pertamina Akui Kewalahan Pasok Gas

Kudu hati-hati nih..kalau Pertamina udah mulai ngeles begini pasti ada yang gak beres. Pastinya, setelah konversi dari minyak tanah ke gas di selanggarakan ternyata masalah yang dihadapi dilapangan makin berlipat. Mulai dari pasokan atau supply di hulu hingga ke masalah distribusi di hilir. Lalu pertanyaannya, kalau memang kita tidak siap dan belum punya perencanaan matang, mengapa ESDM "memaksakan" konversi itu. Padahal semua juga tahu dan mulai menyaksikan bbrp bulan sebelum konversi masayarakat sudah mulai berpindah ke briket batu bara. Bahkan dulu tetangga di komplek saya sudah mulai menjadi penyalur briket dan dengan bangganya memampangkan spanduk di depan rumahnya "Disini Tersedia Briket Batu Bara"....Kecian deh kita.

Mungkin bisa dicek juga tulisan saya dulu di majalah Hilir BPH Migas.


KOMPAS Cetak : PT Pertamina Akui Kewalahan Pasok Gas

Kamis, 11 Desember 2008 | 03:00 WIB

PT Pertamina Akui Kewalahan Pasok Gas
Mendesak Penambahan Infrastruktur untuk Imbangi Konversi
KOMPAS/WISNU WIDIANTORO / Kompas Images
Puluhan kendaraan pengangkut tabung gas ukuran 3 kilogram antre mengisi tabung di Stasiun Pengisian Bulk Elpiji di Kawasan Srengseng, Jakarta Barat, Rabu (10/12). Antrean tersebut merupakan buntut dari keterlambatan pasokan elpiji ke SPBE. Mereka membutuhkan waktu seharian, bahkan lebih dari satu hari, untuk antre.


Jakarta, Kompas - Lonjakan pemakaian elpiji pascakonversi bergulir membuat Pertamina kewalahan karena kondisi infrastruktur bongkar muat elpiji yang terbatas. Akibatnya, rawan terjadi gangguan pasokan gas elpiji ke masyarakat.

”Konsumsi elpiji berjalan sangat cepat setelah konversi berjalan,” ujar Direktur Utama PT Pertamina Ari H Soemarno, dalam jumpa pers, Rabu (10/12), di Jakarta.

Pertamina, menurut Ari, perlu menambah fasilitas kapal pengisian elpiji untuk mengamankan pasokan elpiji tahun depan. Namun, ia membantah kalau terjadi keterlambatan impor.

Vice President Gas Domestik PT Pertamina Wahyudin Akbar, mengemukakan, sejak konversi elpiji sudah stabil, konsumsi elpiji rumah tangga melonjak dari kemasan 3.000 ton per hari menjadi 6.000 ton per hari. Sementara, kondisi infrastruktur penyimpanan dan fasilitas pengisian elpiji belum bertambah.

Keterbatasan infrastruktur

Hal inilah yang menjadi penyebab distribusi elpiji ke masyarakat di sebagian Jawa Barat, DKI Jakarta, dan Jawa Tengah, terputus karena ada gangguan suplai dari Kilang Cilacap dan Kilang Balongan. Apabila dirunut, pasokan elpiji berasal dari produksi kilang milik Pertamina sendiri (jumlahnya hanya sekitar 2.000 ton per hari). Pasokan dari kilang swasta (antara lain kilang elpiji Petrochina di Tanjung Jabung, Jambi, kilang ConocoPhillips di Natuna), dan impor.

Ketika kilang Cilacap dan Balongan stop berproduksi seperti yang terjadi pekan lalu, otomatis pengisian elpiji harus dialihkan ke sumber nonkilang Pertamina (dari kilang swasta yang ada di luar Jawa) atau pun impor. Fasilitas pengisian elpiji ini seperti yang ada di Terminal Tanjung Priok, Eretan-Indramayu, dan Surabaya.

Akan tetapi karena kapasitasnya yang terbatas, fasilitas pengisian ini tidak sanggup memenuhi kebutuhan agen stasiun pengisian bahan bakar elpiji (SPBBE). Pengisian elpiji pun tersendat.

Wahyudin mengatakan, penambahan fasilitas penyimpanan dan bongkar muat elpiji tahun depan harus ditambah. Mengingat dengan target konversi elpiji sebanyak 17 juta keluarga, konsumsi elpiji diperkirakan mencapai 11.000 ton per hari.

Tahun depan, akan ada dua terminal pengisian baru yang berlokasi di Semarang dan Gresik. Selain itu, Pertamina juga merencanakan ada fasilitas pengisian terapung di Balongan dan Cilacap agar pengisian elpiji di wilayah Jawa Tengah dan Jawa Barat tidak terganggu, meskipun kilang berhenti operasi.

Hal senada juga disuarakan oleh Ketua Umum Himpunan Wiraswastawan Nasional Minyak dan Gas (Hiswana Migas) Muhammad Nuradib. Menurut Nuradib, kelangkaan itu karena baru ada beberapa perusahaan distributor kecil yang bersedia menjadi distributor gas, yaitu Blue Gas dan My Gas.

”Inti persoalan terjadinya kelangkaan elpiji adalah minimnya infrastruktur, seperti terminal dan SPBBE. Saat ini, untuk memasok Jawa dan Sumatera, Pertamina hanya punya empat terminal naik turunnya elpiji dari kapal angkut. Sejak awal direncanakan pembangunan lebih dari 200 SPBBE, namun yang terealisasi baru 25 SPBBE. Lambannya realisasi itu karena sulitnya perizinan di daerah,” kata Nuradib.

Menurut Nuradib, hingga Desember ini, pembangunan terminal di Lampung, Serang, Cilegon, dan Semarang masih dalam proses. Jika terminal dan SPBBE makin banyak dan tersebar, distribusi elpiji bakal mudah dan efektif.

Sementara Kepala Hubungan Pemerintahan dan Masyarakat Pertamina Unit Pengolahan VI Balongan Darijanto menginformasikan, perbaikan rutin pada kilang gas dilakukan sejak akhir November dan direncanakan selesai pertengahan Desember ini. Sementara ini, pasokan gas LPG di wilayah Cirebon dan sekitarnya dipasok dari SPBE Eretan.

Kesalahan pemerintah

Namun berbagai kalangan tidak bisa begitu saja menerima argumentasi Pertamina. Mereka menggugat agar Pemerintah dan Pertamina bertanggung atas kelangkaan gas elpiji. Tuntutan itu kian kuat karena masyarakat kini tidak memiliki alternatif pemakaian bahan bakar lain.

Ketua Yayasan Lembaga Konsumen Indonesia (YLKI) Husna Zahir, Rabu (10/12) mengatakan, pemerintah sendiri yang menciptakan kondisi ini setelah menutup akses masyarakat memilih bahan bakar alternatif, seperti minyak tanah. ”Jadi pemerintah turut bertanggung jawab jika distribusi elpiji kerap bermasalah," kata Husna.

Monopoli distribusi bahan bakar memberi dampak kurang baik. Perusahaan distributor bisa berbuat sesukanya dan merugikan konsumen. Seharusnya pemerintah memiliki sistem proteksi sehingga bisa memastikan pasokan gas aman. .

Akibat kekacauan itu masyarakat yang harus menanggungnya. Kristi (27) penjual ayam goreng tepung di Pasar Kebayoran Lama sempat tidak berjualan satu hari saat pasokan elpiji terputus, Sabtu (6/12) lalu. Dia berkeliling mencari isi ulang elpiji di sekitar Jakarta Selatan hingga Tangerang, namun tetap gagal.

Kekosongan pasokan gas 3 kilogram (kg) juga dirasakan di Rangkasbitung, Banten. Hampir seluruh warung pengecer gas elpiji kemasan 3 kg di Kota Rangkasbitung, Kabupaten Lebak dan sekitarnya kehabisan stok elpiji. Tabung-tabung kosong sudah seminggu menumpuk di warung, karena agen elpiji tak kunjung datang. Kondisi itu membuat warga kebingungan, dan terpaksa berkeliling berburu elpiji.

Sejumlah agen di Serang belum mendapat pasokan elpiji 3 kg. Sebagian besar truk pengangkut elpiji masih mengantre di SPBBE Bojonegara. Beberapa truk dari SPBBE langsung diserbu pembeli sehingga dalam dua jam gas itu sudah habis.

Bahkan dari Kota Semarang dikabarkan, kelangkaan gas elpiji 3 kg dan 12 kg sudah terjadi sejak tiga pekan terakhir. Sejumlah warga terpaksa beralih menggunakan kayu bakar untuk keperluan memasak karena sulit memperoleh elpiji.

Kelangkaan elpiji juga terjadi di Solo. Menurut Kepala Bidang Elpiji Hiswana Migas Surakarta Tien Suprapto, sudah seminggu ini pasokan elpiji tersendat.

Menurut Assistant Manager External Relation PT Pertamina Pemasaran Bahan Bakar Minyak Retail Region IV Jateng dan DI Yogyakarta Heppy Wulansari, kondisi ini akibat lalu lintas kapal dari terminal elpiji Surabaya dan Eretan, Cirebon, terganggu. (ksp/dot/nel/nta/ ILO/DEN/EKI/THT)